Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000140 0.000156 0.000173 0.000192 0.000213 0.000237 0.000264
2025-10-12 0.000119 0.000141 0.000166 0.000195 0.000231 0.000271 0.000322
2025-10-19 0.000103 0.000128 0.000158 0.000196 0.000243 0.000301 0.000376
2025-10-26 0.000090 0.000117 0.000150 0.000195 0.000254 0.000328 0.000429
2025-11-02 0.000080 0.000108 0.000144 0.000194 0.000262 0.000353 0.000481
2025-11-09 0.000072 0.000100 0.000139 0.000194 0.000272 0.000378 0.000536
2025-11-16 0.000065 0.000093 0.000133 0.000192 0.000278 0.000399 0.000586
2025-11-23 0.000059 0.000088 0.000128 0.000191 0.000285 0.000423 0.000640
2025-11-30 0.000055 0.000083 0.000125 0.000191 0.000294 0.000448 0.000700
2025-12-07 0.000050 0.000078 0.000121 0.000189 0.000299 0.000468 0.000752
2025-12-14 0.000047 0.000075 0.000119 0.000192 0.000311 0.000499 0.000823
2025-12-21 0.000044 0.000072 0.000117 0.000193 0.000319 0.000525 0.000889
2025-12-28 0.000041 0.000069 0.000114 0.000192 0.000326 0.000550 0.000956
2026-01-04 0.000039 0.000067 0.000113 0.000196 0.000341 0.000589 0.001050
2026-01-11 0.000037 0.000064 0.000111 0.000196 0.000350 0.000619 0.001132
2026-01-18 0.000034 0.000061 0.000108 0.000196 0.000357 0.000645 0.001209
2026-01-25 0.000032 0.000059 0.000105 0.000194 0.000363 0.000670 0.001286
2026-02-01 0.000030 0.000056 0.000103 0.000194 0.000370 0.000699 0.001372
2026-02-08 0.000028 0.000054 0.000100 0.000192 0.000373 0.000719 0.001443
2026-02-15 0.000027 0.000051 0.000098 0.000192 0.000380 0.000746 0.001529
2026-02-22 0.000025 0.000050 0.000096 0.000192 0.000388 0.000777 0.001628
2026-03-01 0.000024 0.000048 0.000094 0.000190 0.000391 0.000799 0.001708
2026-03-08 0.000023 0.000047 0.000093 0.000192 0.000404 0.000840 0.001831